HCM is the new Cloud apps frontline - buyers beware!

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The Human Capital Management (HCM) software market was always set to be a turbulent place in 2012 as Oracle rolled out its next generation Fusion applications and Software as a Service pureplay Workday sought to steal away ageing PeopleSoft customers from under Oracle’s nose.

But last week the stakes were significantly upped and the battle for the hearts, minds and wallets of HRDs everywhere took another turn when German software giant SAP swooped on HCM and talent management firm SuccessFactors in a $3.4 billion takeover bid that changes…well, everything.

HCM applications have been installed with HR departments for a long time now, with PeopleSoft emerging as the most installed dominant provider. PeopleSoft was taken over by Oracle way back in 2005 and while SAP has made inroads with its own HCM offerings, the market has been relatively stable since then.

What’s changed this is the Cloud. It’s already revolutionised the Customer Relationship Management market; now it’s the turn of HCM. Workday and SuccessFactors - along with Taleo - have been posing some serious challenges to the HCM software old guard of Oracle and SAP.

Workday is essentially the old PeopleSoft management team reborn and as such started life targeting its old contact book while two years ago SuccessFactors stunned the market by stealing SAP’s global HCM contract with Siemens from under its nose.

But now both Oracle and SAP have skin in the SaaS game and this week’s SAP bid for SuccessFactors emphasises that HR Directors (HRD) are going to be hearing a lot about Cloud Computing and HCM in the coming months.

But is this a good thing? Does the Cloud generation finally offer HCM systems that HRDs want to use? And which vendor horse should HRDs be backing in what is likely to become a vicious marketing battle?

Ray Wang, founder of Constellation Research, can understand the rationale behind the bid by SAP:  

SAP believes the combination of SuccessFactors and SAP will create a comprehensive HCM solution, marrying strength in enterprise applications with people-focused Cloud applications. SAP has 15,000 HCM deployments (not customers) that could benefit from one-stop shopping.
 

But those deployments were suffering in comparison to the new world of the Cloud, observes Wang:   

Many customers left SAP to go to SuccessFactors to accelerate innovation in the talent space. The rise of Taleo, Workday, and Ultimate Software comes from the lack of general innovation in the HCM space by legacy vendors such as Oracle, PeopleSoft, and SAP. Cloud computing provided the opportunity to deliver rapid innovation to customers. Consequently, existing customers will welcome the move while best of breed purists will have to overcome the surprise and determine how innovative they expect SAP to become in HCM.
 

Just buying SuccessFactors and adding it to its portfolio isn’t in itself going to guarantee SAP success, notes Angela Eager of IT research firm TechMarketView:   

There’s a big difference between acquiring assets and making a success of them, but the acquisition will boost its SaaS credentials and bring some much needed expertise in how to run a Cloud services business.
 

She adds:   

SuccessFactors will boost SAP’s SaaS portfolio, although it does call the future of SAP’s own planned SaaS HR products into question.
 

On the other hand, Thomas Otter, VP over at rival research firm Gartner, reckons:  

The acquisition of SuccessFactors will give SAP a leading talent management suite. This addition will also help SAP defend its venerable core human resource management system (HRMS) product and create significant cross-selling opportunities.
 

But it’s a high price to pay, he adds noting that:  

“$3.4 billion is more than 10 times SuccessFactors’ annual revenue and is a steep price to fill a niche in SAP’s human capital management (HCM) portfolio, as the total talent management market revenue for 2011 is roughly $3.5 billion.
 

But Otter does agree with Eager that SAP now has to make some decisions about what constitutes its HCM strategy:  

SAP will need to be decisive with product rationalization, as it now has at least five competing HCM architectures. For talent management applications, we believe the road map will be focused on SuccessFactors. Core HRMS will be more challenging. SAP has a strong, but aging, core HRMS offering, and SuccessFactors Employee Central is still evolving. What SAP chooses to do here will be key as it competes with HCM SaaS vendors such as Workday and Ultimate Software as well as with Oracle Fusion HCM.
 

Ultimately Otter’s advice to customers or prospective customers is simple:   

Lock in terms and conditions now, as SAP tends to raise prices post-acquisition. Expect some turbulence in the 2012 road map, as politics delay decision-making. Don’t commit to Employee Central until you see a clear road map commitment from SAP.
 

For talent management customers, the message is ‘look before you leap’ as Otter cautions:  

"Do not expect significant enhancements in ERP talent management functionality beyond SAP ERP HCM 6.0 Enhancement Pack. Assess SuccessFactors on your time scale. Just because SAP plans to buy SuccessFactors, that doesn’t mean you have to.
 

Meanwhile he predicts some limited short term disruption for users of SAP HCM offerings:  

It will take time to work out whether Employee Central will be a long-term replacement for core HRMS. There are viable alternatives for both core HRMS and talent management options available from other vendors.
 

The overall message from all the analysts seems simple enough: the HCM applications market is heating up for a long-overdue shake-up. The major vendors want to win over HRDs to their causes. Now is the perfect time to strike a good deal for your organisation, but as ever, it’s a case of buyer beware.

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